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Red29
426524.3
589814.6
518011.2
Blue20
490112.4
90013.9
408310.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553802060802920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#34
24.32.5
24.321.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.4
End3.2
red by 10.4
900
#48
13.92.1
17.014.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Second
5898
#43
14.62.5
12.39.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.8
red by 2.3
4901
#51
12.42.1
13.911.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Third
5180
#47
11.22.5
14.712.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End0.7
red by 1.0
4083
#56
10.22.1
8.56.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed