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Qual 472016 Palmetto Regional
Red55
490218.6
499218.5
348924.4
Blue40
13989.5
496520.0
110226.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5248304060705540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#32
24.40.6
17.9→18.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End4.0
blue by 2.5
1102
#18
26.90.8
19.1→18.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End4.3
Second
4902
#39
18.60.6
12.9→13.5
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 1.4
4965
#21
20.00.8
16.8→16.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Third
4992
#37
18.50.6
18.9→19.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End3.2
red by 9.1
1398
#63
9.50.8
11.4→10.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed