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Red40
426712.9
490112.4
13989.5
Blue67
409813.4
454723.0
261428.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257204060801001204067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4267
#50
12.90.9
10.411.4
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 15.4
2614
#16
28.30.5
27.227.7
Auto9.0
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Second
4901
#51
12.40.9
9.210.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End2.4
blue by 10.6
4547
#10
23.00.5
21.622.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.6
Third
1398
#63
9.50.9
12.012.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 4.0
4098
#42
13.40.5
14.014.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
7%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed