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Red63
128723.0
105116.2
458217.4
Blue105
12032.8
482315.6
110226.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527302040608010012014016063105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#22
23.01.0
21.722.7
Auto9.8
Teleop8.7
End4.4
blue by 9.8
120
#40
32.83.6
28.532.1
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End4.4
Second
4582
#41
17.40.9
16.417.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 9.5
1102
#18
26.93.4
24.327.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End4.3
Third
1051
#60
16.21.0
15.816.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End1.0
red by 0.5
4823
#12
15.63.6
14.618.2
Auto2.1
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed