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Red79
502015.3
407327.3
28324.2
Blue84
187634.7
34216.8
490112.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675830405080901007984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4073
#29
27.31.6
26.227.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End6.1
blue by 7.4
34.72.2
33.035.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.5
End10.3
Second
283
#31
24.21.6
23.625.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.7
End5.1
red by 7.5
342
#54
16.82.2
14.616.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Third
5020
#59
15.31.6
13.715.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End3.9
red by 3.0
4901
#51
12.42.2
10.212.4
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed17%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed