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Red71
532713.5
281526.2
261428.3
Blue100
17943.2
23721.8
589814.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667905010015071100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#16
28.30.5
27.728.1
Auto9.0
Teleop16.0
End3.3
blue by 14.9
179
#1
43.21.1
39.640.6
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End10.4
Second
2815
#17
26.20.5
25.826.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End4.9
red by 4.4
237
#15
21.81.1
21.722.7
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Third
5327
#35
13.50.5
13.013.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End3.2
blue by 1.1
5898
#43
14.61.1
13.614.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed