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Red225
169056.1
205667.8
301538.2
Blue160
283447.1
3357.3
175637.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21518450100150250300350400225160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.2
67.868.0
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
red by 10.5
33
#12
57.30.3
57.757.4
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
56.10.2
56.156.3
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 9.1
47.10.3
47.447.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Third
3015
#31
38.20.2
38.238.4
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
red by 0.5
1756
#43
37.70.3
38.037.7
Auto13.6
Teleop19.2
End5.0