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Red210
169056.1
205667.8
301538.2
Blue170
283447.1
3357.3
175637.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21618250100150250300350400210170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.2
68.067.8
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
red by 10.5
33
#12
57.30.0
57.457.3
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
56.10.2
56.356.1
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 9.1
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Third
3015
#31
38.20.2
38.438.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
red by 0.5
1756
#43
37.70.0
37.737.7
Auto13.6
Teleop19.2
End5.0