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Qual 102016 Tesla Division
Red78
580432.1
18135.5
162217.9
Blue106
261936.7
42326.3
27228.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789405015020078106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#44
35.50.0
35.3→35.3
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
blue by 1.2
2619
#22
36.71.1
36.6→37.7
Auto10.2
Teleop21.7
End4.8
Second
5804
#42
32.10.0
29.9→29.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End4.8
red by 3.5
272
#20
28.51.1
26.9→28.0
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Third
1622
#75
17.90.0
13.5→13.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 8.4
423
#36
26.31.1
26.0→27.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed74%Capture oddsEarned