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Qual 112016 Tesla Division
Red135
323845.4
180648.7
278335.5
Blue108
46143.6
130632.0
621929.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1308950100150200135108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#5
48.70.6
45.5→46.2
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
red by 5.1
461
#29
43.61.0
40.8→41.8
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End4.9
Second
3238
#15
45.40.6
43.6→44.2
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 13.3
1306
#34
32.01.1
27.1→28.2
Auto8.1
Teleop18.0
End6.0
Third
2783
#32
35.50.6
31.3→32.0
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
red by 5.8
6219
#27
29.71.2
25.0→26.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed