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Qual 122016 Tesla Division
Red114
385326.0
605522.9
3357.3
Blue99
54028.4
301538.2
54842.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10411005015020011499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#12
57.30.5
56.5→56.9
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
red by 14.4
548
#48
42.90.5
43.2→42.8
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
Second
3853
#64
26.00.5
24.3→24.7
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End4.0
blue by 12.3
3015
#31
38.20.5
37.4→37.0
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
Third
6055
#58
22.90.7
20.9→21.6
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
blue by 5.5
540
#66
28.40.5
25.1→24.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed