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Red177
304441.2
205667.8
169056.1
Blue117
440123.2
503033.3
511446.3
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16980050100150200250177117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.81.1
68.669.7
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
red by 21.5
5114
#38
46.31.8
43.445.1
Auto11.6
Teleop28.8
End5.9
Second
56.11.3
44.345.5
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 22.8
5030
#57
33.31.8
25.727.5
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Third
3044
#46
41.21.1
38.239.3
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
red by 18.0
4401
#73
23.22.2
21.523.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed