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Qual 142016 Tesla Division
Red94
313046.6
43323.9
304233.4
Blue93
591223.5
125033.3
493033.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101880501502009493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#9
46.60.8
44.6→43.8
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
red by 12.8
4930
#49
33.80.0
32.2→32.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Second
3042
#18
33.40.8
30.8→30.0
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
red by 0.1
1250
#28
33.30.0
32.7→32.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8
Third
433
#59
23.90.8
20.8→20.0
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
red by 0.3
5912
#72
23.50.0
22.8→22.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed