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Qual 152016 Tesla Division
Red111
252234.4
501631.1
446841.3
Blue142
283447.1
490532.3
315825.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961140200300400500111142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#16
41.30.7
37.5→38.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
blue by 5.8
2834
#3
47.11.6
44.3→45.8
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
2522
#13
34.40.7
31.8→32.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
red by 2.1
4905
#37
32.31.6
34.1→35.7
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
Third
5016
#26
31.10.7
26.8→27.5
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
red by 5.2
3158
#69
25.81.6
29.8→31.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
35%Capture oddsEarned31%Capture oddsEarned