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Qual 162016 Tesla Division
Red98
261936.7
505334.9
617128.9
Blue111
11142.4
186032.8
78126.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971145015020098111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#22
36.70.2
37.7→37.4
Auto10.2
Teleop21.7
End4.8
blue by 5.7
111
#24
42.40.2
47.2→47.4
Auto8.6
Teleop28.0
End5.8
Second
5053
#35
34.90.2
30.4→30.2
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End5.7
red by 2.0
1860
#67
32.80.2
33.7→33.9
Auto10.4
Teleop19.7
End2.7
Third
6171
#39
28.90.2
28.5→28.2
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 2.2
781
#62
26.70.2
27.1→27.3
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
37%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed