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Qual 172016 Tesla Division
Red97
278335.5
162217.9
219436.7
Blue101
324536.5
622130.9
236336.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821035015097101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#45
36.71.0
37.3→38.3
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
blue by 0.1
2363
#40
36.80.3
36.9→37.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
Second
2783
#32
35.51.0
32.0→32.9
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
blue by 1.0
3245
#30
36.50.3
32.1→32.4
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Third
1622
#75
17.91.0
13.4→14.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 13.0
6221
#47
30.90.3
27.7→28.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed