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Qual 182016 Tesla Division
Red118
567726.9
233734.9
180648.7
Blue62
356019.9
301538.2
365529.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178605010015011862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#5
48.70.1
46.2→46.1
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
red by 10.5
3015
#31
38.22.4
37.0→34.6
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
Second
2337
#33
34.90.1
37.3→37.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
red by 5.5
3655
#53
29.42.4
31.3→28.9
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Third
5677
#54
26.90.1
26.1→26.0
Auto7.1
Teleop16.0
End3.8
red by 6.9
3560
#74
19.92.4
19.7→17.3
Auto9.3
Teleop8.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed