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Qual 192016 Tesla Division
Red110
448843.6
621929.7
32941.7
Blue79
585433.0
330325.5
605522.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1236905010015011079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#7
43.60.4
42.9→42.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
red by 10.6
5854
#56
33.00.3
26.8→27.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End7.9
Second
329
#14
41.70.4
42.5→42.0
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
red by 16.2
3303
#52
25.50.3
26.7→26.9
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Third
6219
#27
29.70.5
26.3→25.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.0
red by 6.8
6055
#58
22.90.3
21.6→22.0
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
64%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed