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Qual 202016 Tesla Division
Red149
27228.5
205667.8
245149.6
Blue114
205440.1
54842.9
175637.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15213050100200149114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
67.80.3
69.7→70.0
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
red by 24.9
548
#48
42.91.0
42.8→41.8
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
Second
2451
#2
49.60.3
47.1→47.3
Auto12.6
Teleop30.5
End6.6
red by 9.5
2054
#23
40.11.0
45.0→44.0
Auto10.3
Teleop26.2
End3.6
Third
272
#20
28.50.3
28.0→28.3
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 9.1
1756
#43
37.71.0
41.7→40.7
Auto13.6
Teleop19.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
75%Capture oddsEarned38%Capture oddsMissed