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Qual 1042016 Tesla Division
Red134
304441.2
282339.0
313046.6
Blue116
356019.9
140530.1
323845.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1378850100150200134116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#9
46.60.2
47.0→46.8
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
red by 1.2
3238
#15
45.40.5
42.8→43.3
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
Second
3044
#46
41.20.2
40.7→40.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
red by 11.1
1405
#60
30.10.5
31.1→31.6
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End8.5
Third
2823
#6
39.00.2
38.8→38.6
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
red by 19.0
3560
#74
19.90.5
19.1→19.6
Auto9.3
Teleop8.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed