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Qual 1052016 Tesla Division
Red107
54028.4
186032.8
591525.0
Blue115
241543.8
501631.1
585433.0
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7711850100150200107115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1860
#67
32.81.4
31.1→32.5
Auto10.4
Teleop19.7
End2.7
blue by 10.9
2415
#51
43.80.4
43.3→43.7
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
Second
540
#66
28.41.4
26.6→28.0
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
blue by 4.5
5854
#56
33.00.4
34.0→34.4
Auto8.5
Teleop16.5
End7.9
Third
5915
#68
25.01.4
23.3→24.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 6.0
5016
#26
31.10.4
31.6→32.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed