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Qual 1062016 Tesla Division
Red137
7440.1
130632.0
167539.3
Blue94
303933.6
613417.4
162217.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12356010015020013794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#11
40.11.5
38.5→40.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
red by 6.5
3039
#25
33.61.6
32.4→34.0
Auto6.8
Teleop22.0
End4.8
Second
1675
#10
39.31.5
37.5→39.0
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1
red by 21.4
1622
#75
17.91.6
16.0→17.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Third
1306
#34
32.01.5
33.7→35.2
Auto8.1
Teleop18.0
End6.0
red by 14.6
6134
#63
17.41.6
16.0→17.7
Auto2.6
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
64%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed