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Red126
175637.7
503033.3
78126.7
Blue127
446841.3
219436.7
439142.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9213050150200126127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#43
37.71.4
38.139.4
Auto13.6
Teleop19.2
End5.0
blue by 4.4
42.00.3
42.842.5
Auto14.1
Teleop20.4
End7.5
Second
5030
#57
33.31.4
31.432.7
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
blue by 8.0
4468
#16
41.30.3
41.841.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
Third
781
#62
26.71.4
25.927.2
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
blue by 10.0
2194
#45
36.70.3
36.736.4
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed73%Capture oddsEarned