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Qual 1082016 Tesla Division
Red149
543738.1
205667.8
490532.3
Blue127
3357.3
591223.5
448843.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14712550100200149127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
67.80.1
69.9→69.8
Auto18.7
Teleop35.5
End13.6
red by 10.5
33
#12
57.30.2
57.6→57.4
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
5437
#19
38.10.1
38.0→38.0
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End4.7
blue by 5.5
4488
#7
43.60.2
43.9→43.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
Third
4905
#37
32.30.1
32.0→32.0
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
red by 8.8
5912
#72
23.50.2
23.4→23.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
100%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
86%Capture oddsEarned72%Capture oddsMissed