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Qual 1092016 Tesla Division
Red105
27228.5
304233.4
11142.4
Blue83
567726.9
622130.9
621929.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11182406010012014016018010583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24
42.40.1
44.3→44.3
Auto8.6
Teleop28.0
End5.8
red by 11.5
6221
#47
30.90.1
29.4→29.3
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End5.6
Second
3042
#18
33.40.1
30.9→31.0
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
red by 3.7
6219
#27
29.70.1
28.6→28.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.0
Third
272
#20
28.50.1
28.8→28.9
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 1.7
5677
#54
26.90.1
26.2→26.1
Auto7.1
Teleop16.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed