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Qual 1112016 Tesla Division
Red125
301538.2
278335.5
511446.3
Blue107
18135.5
617128.9
125033.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124996080140160180200125107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#38
46.30.5
46.2→46.7
Auto11.6
Teleop28.8
End5.9
red by 10.8
181
#44
35.50.1
36.7→36.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
3015
#31
38.20.5
36.0→36.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
red by 4.9
1250
#28
33.30.1
34.8→34.9
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8
Third
2783
#32
35.50.5
34.8→35.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
red by 6.5
6171
#39
28.90.1
28.5→28.7
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsEarned