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Red90
43323.9
151028.5
580432.1
Blue138
252234.4
236336.8
46143.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7812105010015090138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#42
32.10.6
31.532.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End4.8
blue by 11.5
461
#29
43.61.1
43.444.6
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End4.9
Second
1510
#61
28.50.6
27.327.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.7
End3.4
blue by 8.3
2363
#40
36.81.1
34.635.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
Third
433
#59
23.90.6
22.723.3
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
blue by 10.6
2522
#13
34.41.1
33.134.2
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned39%Capture oddsEarned