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Qual 1132016 Tesla Division
Red100
605522.9
60424.9
180648.7
Blue98
42326.3
186032.8
505334.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10194608012014016010098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#5
48.70.2
50.4→50.6
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
red by 13.9
5053
#35
34.90.4
34.5→34.9
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Second
604
#55
24.90.2
24.2→24.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End5.8
blue by 7.9
1860
#67
32.80.4
32.5→32.8
Auto10.4
Teleop19.7
End2.7
Third
6055
#58
22.90.2
22.2→22.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
blue by 3.4
423
#36
26.30.4
25.6→26.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed39%Capture oddsEarned