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Red134
7440.1
3357.3
543925.3
Blue96
304441.2
567726.9
53718.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134795010015020013496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#12
57.30.5
57.457.8
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
red by 16.1
3044
#46
41.20.8
40.541.3
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Second
74
#11
40.10.5
40.040.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
red by 13.2
5677
#54
26.90.8
26.126.9
Auto7.1
Teleop16.0
End3.8
Third
5439
#50
25.30.5
24.925.3
Auto6.9
Teleop14.0
End4.4
red by 6.7
537
#70
18.60.8
17.918.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
44%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed