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Qual 1162016 Tesla Division
Red122
17745.2
446841.3
27228.5
Blue132
54028.4
282339.0
448843.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211250100150200122132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#21
45.20.3
46.5→46.2
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
red by 1.6
4488
#7
43.60.4
43.8→44.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
Second
4468
#16
41.30.3
41.6→41.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
red by 2.3
2823
#6
39.00.4
38.6→39.0
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
Third
272
#20
28.50.3
28.9→28.5
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 0.1
540
#66
28.40.4
28.0→28.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
89%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsMissed