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Red111
151028.5
233734.9
109939.8
Blue116
205440.1
580432.1
241543.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212350150200111116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1099
#17
39.80.6
39.239.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
blue by 4.0
2415
#51
43.80.0
43.743.7
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
Second
2337
#33
34.90.6
35.335.8
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
blue by 5.2
2054
#23
40.10.0
40.440.4
Auto10.3
Teleop26.2
End3.6
Third
1510
#61
28.50.6
27.928.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.7
End3.4
blue by 3.6
5804
#42
32.10.0
32.132.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
68%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsEarned