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Red120
621929.7
167539.3
236336.8
Blue102
42326.3
617128.9
54842.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107100050150200120102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#10
39.31.1
39.040.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1
blue by 3.6
548
#48
42.90.3
43.343.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
Second
2363
#40
36.81.1
35.736.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
red by 7.9
6171
#39
28.90.3
28.728.9
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Third
6219
#27
29.71.1
28.529.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.0
red by 3.4
423
#36
26.30.3
26.026.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsEarned