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Qual 1212016 Tesla Division
Red152
304233.4
323845.4
301538.2
Blue67
580921.5
6632.0
440123.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217405010015020015267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#15
45.42.4
43.3→45.8
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 13.4
66
#65
32.00.8
32.8→32.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End5.8
Second
3015
#31
38.22.4
36.5→38.9
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
red by 15.0
4401
#73
23.20.8
24.0→23.2
Auto6.4
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Third
3042
#18
33.42.4
31.0→33.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
red by 11.9
5809
#71
21.50.8
22.3→21.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
20%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed