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Red84
591525.0
162217.9
490532.3
Blue111
32941.7
503033.3
43323.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711055015084111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#37
32.30.3
32.032.3
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
blue by 9.4
329
#14
41.70.6
41.141.7
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Second
5915
#68
25.00.3
24.725.0
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 8.3
5030
#57
33.30.6
32.733.3
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Third
1622
#75
17.90.3
17.617.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 5.9
433
#59
23.90.6
23.323.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed