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Qual 1232016 Tesla Division
Red78
315825.8
591223.5
356019.9
Blue109
60424.9
219436.7
324536.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410605015078109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#69
25.80.3
25.5→25.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.0
End2.0
blue by 10.9
2194
#45
36.70.5
36.4→36.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
Second
5912
#72
23.50.3
23.2→23.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 12.9
3245
#30
36.50.5
36.0→36.5
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Third
3560
#74
19.90.3
19.6→19.9
Auto9.3
Teleop8.0
End2.6
blue by 5.0
604
#55
24.90.5
24.5→24.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned