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Red115
493033.8
511446.3
605522.9
Blue127
622130.9
365529.4
283447.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061068090100110120130115127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#38
46.30.5
46.747.3
Auto11.6
Teleop28.8
End5.9
blue by 0.7
47.11.6
46.047.6
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
4930
#49
33.80.5
33.333.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
red by 2.9
6221
#47
30.91.6
29.330.9
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End5.6
Third
6055
#58
22.90.5
22.422.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
blue by 6.5
3655
#53
29.41.6
27.829.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsEarned