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Qual 242016 Tesla Division
Red89
303933.6
151028.5
323845.4
Blue76
543925.3
18135.5
385326.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111760501001508976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#15
45.41.2
44.2→43.0
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 9.9
181
#44
35.50.5
35.3→34.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
3039
#25
33.61.2
32.3→31.1
Auto6.8
Teleop22.0
End4.8
red by 7.6
3853
#64
26.00.5
24.7→24.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Third
1510
#61
28.51.2
26.0→24.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.7
End3.4
red by 3.1
5439
#50
25.30.6
18.9→18.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed