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Qual 252016 Tesla Division
Red57
167539.3
3357.3
53718.6
Blue75
591525.0
440123.2
580432.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13171501001502005775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#12
57.34.8
56.9→52.2
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
red by 25.2
5804
#42
32.10.2
29.8→29.7
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End4.8
Second
1675
#10
39.34.8
40.0→35.2
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1
red by 14.3
5915
#68
25.00.2
24.0→23.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Third
537
#70
18.64.8
21.4→16.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 4.6
4401
#73DQ
23.20.2
23.7→23.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsMissed69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed