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Qual 262016 Tesla Division
Red90
219436.7
301538.2
330325.5
Blue126
169056.1
43323.9
501631.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049405015090126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#31
38.21.0
34.6→33.6
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End5.1
blue by 17.9
1690
#4
56.11.3
45.5→46.9
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
Second
2194
#45
36.71.0
38.3→37.3
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.6
red by 5.7
5016
#26
31.11.2
27.5→28.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
Third
3303
#52
25.51.0
26.9→25.9
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End4.3
red by 1.7
433
#59
23.91.2
20.0→21.2
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed