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Red109
503033.3
448843.6
186032.8
Blue161
109939.8
313046.6
278335.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051176080140160180109161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.3
42.542.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.6
End6.2
blue by 3.0
46.63.3
43.847.1
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End6.1
Second
5030
#57
33.30.3
27.527.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
blue by 6.4
1099
#17
39.83.3
35.338.5
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Third
1860
#67
32.80.3
33.934.2
Auto10.4
Teleop19.7
End2.7
blue by 2.6
2783
#32
35.53.3
32.936.2
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed21%Capture oddsEarned