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Qual 282016 Tesla Division
Red102
304441.2
621929.7
580921.5
Blue124
175637.7
505334.9
493033.8
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83110050150200250102124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#46
41.21.2
39.0→40.2
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
red by 3.5
1756
#43
37.71.4
40.7→42.1
Auto13.6
Teleop19.2
End5.0
Second
6219
#27
29.71.2
25.8→26.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.2
End5.0
blue by 5.2
5053
#35
34.91.4
30.2→31.6
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Third
5809
#71
21.51.2
19.5→20.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 12.3
4930
#49
33.81.4
32.2→33.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed41%Capture oddsEarned