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Qual 292016 Tesla Division
Red84
315825.8
27228.5
439142.0
Blue120
180648.7
7440.1
125033.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10412105015020025030084120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#8
42.01.3
44.0→42.6
Auto14.1
Teleop20.4
End7.5
blue by 6.7
1806
#5
48.70.0
46.1→46.0
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End3.8
Second
272
#20
28.51.3
28.3→27.0
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 11.6
74
#11
40.10.0
36.3→36.3
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
Third
3158
#69
25.81.3
31.4→30.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.0
End2.0
blue by 7.5
1250
#28
33.30.0
32.7→32.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsMissed35%Capture oddsEarned