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Red87
46143.6
622130.9
78126.7
Blue141
32941.7
303933.6
54842.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612205015020025087141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#29
43.60.7
41.641.0
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End4.9
red by 0.6
548
#48
42.91.4
41.843.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
Second
6221
#47
30.90.7
28.027.4
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End5.6
blue by 10.8
329
#14
41.71.4
42.043.4
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Third
781
#62
26.70.7
27.326.6
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
blue by 6.8
3039
#25
33.61.4
31.132.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsEarned