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Qual 312016 Tesla Division
Red102
440123.2
304233.4
17745.2
Blue82
236336.8
490532.3
261936.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9911605015020025010282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#21
45.20.4
45.1→44.6
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
red by 8.4
2363
#40
36.82.2
37.2→35.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
Second
3042
#18
33.40.4
30.0→29.6
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
blue by 3.3
2619
#22
36.72.2
37.4→35.2
Auto10.2
Teleop21.7
End4.8
Third
4401
#73
23.20.4
23.5→23.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.8
End5.0
blue by 9.1
4905
#37
32.32.2
35.7→33.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed78%Capture oddsMissed