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Qual 322016 Tesla Division
Red124
324536.5
130632.0
282339.0
Blue73
617128.9
605522.9
53718.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026305015020012473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#6
39.01.7
30.9→32.6
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
red by 10.1
6171
#39
28.90.1
28.2→28.3
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Second
3245
#30
36.51.7
32.4→34.1
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End5.1
red by 13.6
6055
#58
22.90.1
22.0→22.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Third
1306
#34
32.01.7
30.0→31.7
Auto8.1
Teleop18.0
End6.0
red by 13.4
537
#70
18.60.1
16.7→16.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed