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Qual 332016 Tesla Division
Red116
446841.3
543738.1
140530.1
Blue83
233734.9
162217.9
543925.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206305010015020025011683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#16
41.30.2
38.2→38.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
red by 6.4
2337
#33
34.90.9
37.2→38.1
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Second
5437
#19
38.10.2
39.4→39.6
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End4.7
red by 12.8
5439
#50
25.31.0
18.2→19.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Third
1405
#60
30.10.2
31.0→31.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End8.5
red by 12.2
1622
#75
17.90.9
14.4→15.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed