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Qual 32016 Tesla Division
Red117
169056.1
591525.0
330325.5
Blue106
233734.9
591223.5
7440.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89105050150200250117106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#4
56.12.5
41.7→44.3
Auto13.8
Teleop36.7
End5.7
red by 16.0
74
#11
40.10.6
38.7→38.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
Second
3303
#52
25.51.9
24.8→26.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End4.3
blue by 9.4
2337
#33
34.90.6
37.9→37.3
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Third
5915
#68
25.01.9
22.1→24.0
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End3.3
red by 1.5
5912
#72
23.50.6
23.4→22.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed30%Capture oddsMissed