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Red99
186032.8
125033.3
252234.4
Blue79
613417.4
53718.6
493033.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1114901001502009979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#13
34.40.3
32.131.8
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
red by 0.6
4930
#49
33.81.1
31.032.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Second
1250
#28
33.30.3
33.132.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.6
End9.8
red by 14.7
537
#70
18.61.1
20.321.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Third
1860
#67
32.80.3
34.033.7
Auto10.4
Teleop19.7
End2.7
red by 15.4
6134
#63
17.41.4
5.77.1
Auto2.6
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed