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Red98
572623.5
241543.8
591223.5
Blue110
567726.9
511446.3
167539.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611305010015020098110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#51
43.80.7
41.041.7
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
blue by 2.6
5114
#38
46.30.2
45.145.4
Auto11.6
Teleop28.8
End5.9
Second
5726
#41
23.50.8
24.024.8
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 15.8
1675
#10
39.30.2
35.235.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.1
Third
5912
#72
23.50.7
22.923.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 3.4
5677
#54
26.90.2
26.026.2
Auto7.1
Teleop16.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsEarned