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Qual 382016 Tesla Division
Red75
42326.3
151028.5
304233.4
Blue90
365529.4
330325.5
304441.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791010501502007590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#18
33.40.6
29.6→28.9
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
blue by 7.8
3044
#46
41.20.3
40.2→39.8
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Second
1510
#61
28.50.6
24.8→24.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.7
End3.4
blue by 1.0
3655
#53
29.40.3
28.9→28.6
Auto9.1
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Third
423
#36
26.30.6
25.3→24.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
red by 0.8
3303
#52
25.50.3
25.9→25.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed